As expected and predicted, our departing tropical energy, in the shape of a coastal storm, is moving far out to sea while interacting with a front rushing over the Northeast. This is resulting in strong gusts, clouds, and precipitation along coastal areas. However, this system is heading out to sea at a good pace, so clearing today will be quick.
Cooler weather moves in behind it, dropping into the 60s before dropping even more to the 50s on Sunday and Monday. We might also see significant frost overnight Sunday into Monday in interior Northeast areas, particularly at higher elevations and valleys.
We’re also keeping an eye on an onshore flow along Florida’s eastern coast, where a few tropical showers and rumbles are still touching the beach. Rough seas and beach erosion risk have subsided, although certain increased tides continue to cause moderate coastal flooding.
Today’s big story is the possibility of severe weather in Nebraska, Iowa, Kansas, and Missouri. The cold front that is anticipated to reduce temperatures in the Northeast on Sunday is slowly making its way over the Midwest right now. As it moves into a warmer and more humid region, it will generate enough convection later this afternoon and evening to develop clusters and lines of heavy showers and thunderstorms.
Look for these clusters and lines to help contain storms that may become severe. There is a possibility of locally destructive winds, huge hail, frequent lightning, torrential rain, and an isolated tornado. This action might possibly spread to Illinois and Wisconsin overnight.
Here’s your local NYC Metro forecast:
Clouds and drizzle will give way to sunshine today. It will be breezy today, with northerly winds gusting up to 25 mph. Things will quiet down tomorrow, with highs in the mid-60s and comfortable.
The same is true for Saturday when we’ll be in the mid-60s before the front passes by with no action due to the dry conditions. The highs on Sunday will be in the 55-60 range, with a steady breeze.
The 50s hold on for Monday with sunshine, and we gradually return to the 60s by Tuesday. Mild air wants to push back, and we might see some 70s here by Wednesday.